Does Crowd Prediction Work?

On Friday Derren Brown claimed that he used a “crowd” of 24 people to help him select the Wednesday UK Lottery draw numbers. He presented them with a sequence of past numbers and then he asked them to close their eyes and doodle on a piece of paper, a process called automatic writing. He collected the papers, some had written numbers, and he averaged them to derive a set of 6 numbers. He did not show the 24 people in the room what the numbers were and he sealed them in a container and took them to a nearby empty studio. You can see what happened in the blog posts below, a youtube of the event is available.

It has been shown that crowds can predict things and it has been tried with stock market predictions, however, I would think that 24 people is not enough of a crowd to predict anything sensible.

It is a belief of The Axion that crowd prediction works but some thousands of people are needed. It is hoped that in time The Axion will attract thousands of subscribers to the blog and then real crowd prediction can be tried.

In the mean time readers will have to make do with the predictions of The Axion which are pretty good anyway.

For fun I will see if The Axion can predict lottery numbers using deep mathematical analysis of past lotto numbers and I will post the selection here on Wednesdays, Fridays and Saturdays

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